In a few days, the launch schedule of the world’s richest man, Jeff Bezos will be implemented. In contrast to Richard Branson, the risk of Bezos failing to enjoy space tourism is much greater.
On July 11, Branson went into space using a VSS Unity aircraft previously transported with the help of SpaceShipTwo. He goes into space like flying an airplane in general.
While Bezos penetrates to reach suborbital heights using the New Shepard, the rocket moves vertically. Launching a New Shepard like flying a rocket is usually risky, especially since this is the first manned mission.
Joseph Fragola, Asti Group CEO and NASA engineer with decades of experience, says that most space flight risks depend on how powerful and complex its engine is, and how long it takes to fail.
And, the space shuttle is all the hassle in flight, bringing their crew into orbit, which is even more wrong during launch.
Fragola explained that after the 1986 Challanger disaster, the highly complex fleet of aircraft failed about 1 in every 120 launches.
"Compared to an airplane, it's horrible. A U.S. plane is now bordering on a possible disaster of between 1 in 100 million to 1 in a billion," Fragola was quoted as saying by Space, Sunday (18/7/2021).
Blue Origin has personally tested the New Shepard on 15 driverless tests, with one partial failure when the passenger capsule landed safely, but its propulsion rocket crashed.
“That’s a very positive thing,” Fragola responded to the data.
If something happens, New Shepard will store the passenger capsule with a rocket. That increases the crew's safety budget.
Fragola said, looking at Blue Origin's experience so far, it is estimated the likelihood of an error with a rocket is between 1 in 100 and 1 in 500, with the best estimate being 1 in 200.
On July 20, Jeff Bezos and others will enjoy a short 11 -minute space tour. They will enjoy the view from a height of 100 kilometers which is the pinnacle of space.
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